Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis

Richards J. Heuer Jr. and Randolph H. Pherson turn a lifetime of expertise toward formalizing, adapting, and standardizing a set of 50 of the most robust analytic techniques in use in intelligence analysis today. This ready reference showcases current and cutting-edge best practices and represents a significant leap forward in depth, detail, and utility from existing handbooks. Logically organized and richly illustrated, Structured Analytic Techniques makes it easy to navigate, reference, and put the tools to use right away. Each technique is clearly and systematically when to use, value added, the method, potential pitfalls, examples of how it can be used, its relationship to other techniques, and its origins.THE TECHNIQUESGetting Started ChecklistCustomer ChecklistIssue RedefinitionChronologies and TimelinesSortingRanking, Scoring, PrioritizingMatricesNetwork AnalysisMind Maps and Concept MapsProcess Maps and Gantt ChartsStructured BrainstormingVirtual BrainstormingNominal Group TechniqueStarburstingCross-Impact MatrixMorphological AnalysisQuadrant CrunchingBasic Scenario AnalysisAlternative Futures AnalysisMultiple Scenario GenerationIndicatorsIndicators ValidatorSimple HypothesisMultiple Hypotheses GeneratorQuadrant Hypothesis GenerationDiagnostic ReasoningAnalysis of Competing HypothesesArgument MappingDeception DetectionKey Assumptions CheckStructured AnalogiesRole PlayingRed Hat AnalysisOutside-In ThinkingPolicy Outcomes Forecasting ModelPrediction MarketsPremortem AnalysisStructured Self-CritiqueWhat If? AnalysisHigh Impact/Low Probability AnalysisDevil’s AdvocacyRed Team AnalysisDelphi MethodAdversarial CollaborationStructured DebateComplexity ManagerDecision MatrixForce Field AnalysisPros-Cons-Faults-and-FixesSWOT Analysis